Asian markets mostly rose yesterday as investors tracked renewed US stimulus talks in Washington, while the mood remains upbeat owing to vaccine developments.
After the first approval of a Covid-19 drug by Britain on Wednesday, traders are now focusing on regulators in the US and Europe, and the rollout that will allow life to get back to normal and the economy back on track.
Observers pointed to a pick-up in Treasury yields that suggests investors expect interest rates to rise in the future – a sign that the economy is improving.
“The market has almost immediately priced in a better-than-expected 2021, particularly in the second half, and that’s what we are seeing here, and on the yield curve as well,” Alicia Levine, at BNY Mellon Investment Management, told Bloomberg TV.
“The message here really is that better days are ahead and that dips and consolidations are eminently buyable.”
Wall Street enjoyed another broadly positive day, with the S&P 500 chalking up another record close, while the Dow also advanced, though the Nasdaq inched down from Tuesday’s all-time high.
Asia struggled in early trade but most markets managed to break out as the day wore on.
Hong Kong, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Manila, Jakarta and Bangkok all rose though Shanghai, Taipei and Wellington were slightly lower. Tokyo and Mumbai were barely moved.
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 closed flat at 26,809.37 points, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng closed 0.7% up at 26,728.50 points and Shanghai’s Composite closed 0.2% down at 3,442.1a4 points.
London edged up at the open but Paris and Frankfurt both dipped.
While the global rally that characterised November has slowed this week, the general consensus is that a bright future awaits.
“Following two weeks of terror in March, the post-pandemic market narrative has moved seamlessly from policy-driven to mobility-driven to vaccine-driven,” said Axi strategist Stephen Innes.
“The vaccine has been the big prize for risk markets as healthcare concerns see a rapid drop in the global virus counts in the second half of next year.
This will result in a collective demand lift for the world economy, (while) global geopolitical risk has also diminished after the US presidential election.”
Traders were keeping tabs on developments in Washington after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw her support behind a $908bn compromise relief package proposed by a bipartisan group of lawmakers on Tuesday.
The proposal is half what Democrats had previously been pushing for.
Still, the two parties remain far apart on their plans, with Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell insisting on a much more limited measure.
OANDA analyst Craig Erlam admitted the latest proposal was unlikely to be passed but added: “The best hope may be something negotiated alongside the funding bill which is needed to avoid a partial government shutdown on December 11.
“But any agreement would likely be very short-term and warrant more action early in the new year.
Still, better than nothing which is the best we can hope for, it seems.”
The need for a rescue package was highlighted by data showing fewer private jobs than expected were created last month, while the Federal Reserve’s report on the state of the economy showed four of 12 regions seeing little or no growth, and four others seeing activity begin to dip last month.
Meanwhile, coronavirus continues to surge, with the US on Wednesday registering the most daily deaths since April, while almost 200,000 new infections were reported.
The pound edged up but was still struggling after European Union top negotiator Michel Barnier warned he could not guarantee a post-Brexit trade deal would be agreed with Britain before a December 31 deadline.
Opec and other major producers will meet later in the day to try to hash out an agreement to extend output cuts over the coming months. While the talks have stumbled this week, many still expect they will eventually push back the end of the current production cuts from January 1, 2021 to April 1.
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